Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guaraní Asuncion		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.00	2.25	Watch
	2.87	3.10	2.20
	2.88	3.10	2.43	Watch
	3.21	3.15	2.41
	3.11	3.14	2.36	Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.35
	3.10	3.16	2.32	Watch
	2.95	3.00	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.86)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	2.32 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
30.5%

Draw
29.8%

Libertad Asuncion
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Servio G. (C) 37. Perez D. 2. Segovia I. 23. Jacquet M. 3. Barbotte A. 5. Tanda P. 26. Fernandez D. 25. Gomez G. 8. Lopez M. 10. Anasco M. 18. Romero T.	12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Benitez A. 3. Rojas R. 23. Freire N. 17. Espinoza Acosta M. D. (C) 24. Villalba R. 8. Carrizo F. 21. Sanabria L. 30. Vera O. R. 7. Manzur A. 28. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
21. Arrua C. 17. Cespedes V. 38. Coronel P. 40. Fernandez F. 11. Garcia J. 35. Gonzalez P. 29. Llano J. 34. Maldonado M. 13. Martinez A. (G) 36. Martinez L. 20. Quinonez R. 14. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O.	13. Bogarin J. 31. Fernandez T. 5. Flores G. 19. Franco I. 14. Fretes A. 4. Gimenez N. 1. Gonzalez A. (G) 33. Martinez C. 26. Ramirez I. 11. Vera E. 34. Villalba E. 22. Villalba P.
Coaches
Galeano A.	Valdez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Freire N. ↓, Gimenez N. ↑,
45+1', 0 - 1, Vera O. R. ⚽, Espinoza Acosta M. D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Bogarin J. ↑,
46', Manzur A. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
46', Perez D. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
52', Vera O. R. 🟥,
55', Gomez G. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
55', Barbotte A. ↓, Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. ↑,
55', Romero T. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
57', Carrizo F. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Coronel P. ⚽, Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. (A),
69', Villalba R. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
70', Jacquet M. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
75', Fernandez D. 🟨,
81', Gimenez N. 🟨,
82', Tanda P. 🟨,
90+7', Martinez C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Libertad Asuncion	13	8	2	3	21:14	7	26
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.07.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWT
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.07.26	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Asuncion	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
05.04.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:0
08.02.26	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3
09.11.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:2
Copa Paraguay
01.10.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 penalties
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:4
19.04.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3
09.02.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:1

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