Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Guaratinguetá U20		Capivariano U20

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.93
	3.6	3.35	1.85
	3.8	3.43	1.81
	3.32	3.69	1.92	Watch
	3.59	3.5	1.87
	2.9	3.9	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.9)	3.55 ↓ (3.9)	1.89 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaratinguetá U20
26.6%

Draw
25.5%

Capivariano U20
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

23.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

22.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaratinguetá U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Capivariano U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaratinguetá U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano U20 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Guaratinguetá U20 - Capivariano U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
86', 🟥,
89', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Capivariano U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaratinguetá U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.07.25	XV de Jaú U20 - Guaratinguetá U20	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Guaratinguetá U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	3:0 ✺
11.07.25	Osasco Sporting U20 - Guaratinguetá U20	3:2 ✺
04.07.25	Guaratinguetá U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Guaratinguetá U20 - Piracicaba U20	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL
- Capivariano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
25.07.25	Capivariano U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Capivariano U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Guarani U20 - Capivariano U20	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Osasco Sporting U20 - Capivariano U20	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Capivariano U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTW

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