Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guarda Desportiva		Camacha

	1	X	2
	8.75	5	1.26
	6.5	4	1.35
	10.71	5.19	1.26
	10.5	5.65	1.23
	8.8	5	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.05 ↑ (5.22)	4.97 ↑ (3.64)	1.27 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda Desportiva
10.1%

Draw
18.4%

Camacha
71.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.6%

25.2%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda Desportiva's form might have worsened.

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camacha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda Desportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camacha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Camacha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Camacha is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda Desportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.23	Machico - Guarda Desportiva	Guarda Desportiva awarded ✺
19.03.23	Guarda Desportiva - Leça	1:5 ✺
12.03.23	Castro Daire - Guarda Desportiva	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Guarda Desportiva - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Marítimo B - Guarda Desportiva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?LLLL
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Camacha - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Gondomar - Camacha	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Camacha - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Rebordosa - Camacha	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Camacha - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Camacha - Guarda Desportiva	4:1

Guarda Desportiva - Camacha

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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