Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castro Daire		Guarda Desportiva

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Castro Daire
56.6%

Draw
25%

Guarda Desportiva
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

24.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Castro Daire is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Castro Daire - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Salgueiros 08 - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Castro Daire - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Alpendorada - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTTTL
- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Guarda Desportiva - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Marítimo B - Guarda Desportiva	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Resende - Guarda Desportiva	2:4 ✺
12.02.23	Guarda Desportiva - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Gondomar - Guarda Desportiva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLWLT

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire	0:3

Castro Daire - Guarda Desportiva