Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 12

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Guarda FC		Leça

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	4.5	3.65	1.66
	5.23	3.75	1.59
	5.01	3.75	1.58
	4.5	3.65	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.49)	3.66 ↑ (3.1)	1.63 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda FC
19.5%

Draw
24.9%

Leça
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda FC's form might have worsened.

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leça's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guarda FC - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.24	Beira-Mar - Guarda FC	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Guarda FC - Machico	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Alpendorada - Guarda FC	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Salgueiros 08 - Guarda FC	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Guarda FC - União Lamas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLL
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.24	Leça - Salgueiros 08	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	União Lamas - Leça	0:3 ✺
10.11.24	Leça - Gondomar	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Marítimo B - Leça	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Leça - Cinfães	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

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