Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 21

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Guarda FC		Salgueiros 08

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.3	1.98
	4.26	2.95	1.96
	3.46	3.46	1.98
	3.75	3.05	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.68)	3.19 ↑ (2.94)	1.97 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda FC
24.6%

Draw
28.8%

Salgueiros 08
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

32%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda FC's form might have worsened.

Salgueiros 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salgueiros 08's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salgueiros 08, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guarda FC - Salgueiros 08 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Soares P. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Soares P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 3).

Guarda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Salgueiros is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salgueiros will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.25	União Lamas - Guarda FC	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Guarda FC - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marítimo B - Guarda FC	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Guarda FC - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Coimbrões - Guarda FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWTW
- SC Salgueiros 08
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - União Lamas	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Marítimo B	4:0 ✺
19.01.25	Salgueiros 08 - Coimbrões	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.11.24	Salgueiros 08 - Guarda FC	2:0

Guarda FC - Salgueiros 08: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide