Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Salgueiros 08		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.88	4.05
	1.86	2.92	4.31
	1.96	3.28	3.68	Watch
	1.85	2.88	4
	1.85	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.22)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)	4.05 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salgueiros 08
47.8%

Draw
29.9%

Alpendorada
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salgueiros 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salgueiros 08's performance.

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alpendorada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salgueiros 08 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alpendorada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟥,
90+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).

Salgueiros is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Alpendorada has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salgueiros might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salgueiros won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Salgueiros won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Salgueiros	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Salgueiros 08
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Cinfães - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Florgrade	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Leça - Salgueiros 08	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rebordosa - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Alpendorada - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Anadia - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Alpendorada - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	União Lamas - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Alpendorada - Vila Meã	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.25	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	1:2
23.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	0:0
27.10.24	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	0:1
02.04.23	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	0:1
11.12.22	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	5:4

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