Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Cartes		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.26	3.06	2.15
	3.28	3.12	2.16
	3.27	3.06	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 (3.25)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	2.15 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartes
28%

Draw
29.7%

Guarnizo
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

29%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cartes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartes than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Cartes - Guarnizo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartes won 1.

Cartes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarnizo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cartes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guarnizo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cartes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Cartes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
22.02.26	Colindres - Cartes	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cartes - Selaya	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Laredo - Cartes	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cartes - Bezana	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Torina - Cartes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLLT
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
25.02.26	Selaya - Guarnizo	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Revilla - Guarnizo	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Guarnizo - Colindres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
03.02.24	Guarnizo - Cartes	0:0
17.09.23	Cartes - Guarnizo	0:2
18.02.23	Cartes - Guarnizo	2:1
16.10.22	Guarnizo - Cartes	1:0
05.02.22	Cartes - Guarnizo	0:0
09.10.21	Guarnizo - Cartes	1:1
13.12.20	Guarnizo - Cartes	0:1

Cartes - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide