Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Guarnizo		Gama

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.82	3.15	3.55
	1.76	3.3	3.85
	1.85	3.41	3.66
	1.86	3.42	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.29)	3.28 ↑ (3.15)	3.62 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
48.1%

Draw
27.3%

Gama
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarnizo's performance.

Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarnizo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gama than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guarnizo - Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Guarnizo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gama is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Gama have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
27.11.22	Textil Escudo - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Guarnizo - Escobedo	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Tropezón - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Guarnizo - Naval Reinosa	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Castro - Guarnizo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLT
- SD Gama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
27.11.22	Gama - Siete Villas	1:2 ✺
19.11.22	Sámano - Gama	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	Gama - Torina	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Gama - Atlético Albericia	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Gama - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLW

Guarnizo - Gama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide