Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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Guarnizo |
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Laredo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.62 |
2.72 |
2.78 |
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 |
25.00 |
12.88 |
1.00 |
 Watch |
 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.88 |
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2.5 |
2.8 |
2.81 |
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2.5 |
2.85 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.02 ↑
(2.94) |
4.79 ↑
(3.25) |
2.46 ↑
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guarnizo
18.8% | Draw
27.6% | Laredo
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarnizo's form might have worsened.Laredo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laredo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarnizo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laredo than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laredo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Guarnizo - Laredo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 37', 0 - 1, Fuli ⚽,
- 44', 0 - 2, de la Maza M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)Guarnizo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Laredo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Laredo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).Including home match between the teams, Guarnizo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Laredo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 10 | 12 |
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| 13 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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