Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Gonzalez (San Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock TV, Telemundo


	Salvador		Guatemala

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.98	2.92	2.48	Watch
	3	2.99	2.52
	3.00	3.08	2.43	Watch
	3.2	3.18	2.48	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.1)	3.05 ↓ (3.33)	2.64 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvador
33%

Draw
31.1%

Guatemala
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salvador's form might have worsened.

Guatemala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guatemala's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Salvador - Guatemala Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Salvador will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Guatemala will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salvador: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Salvador (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Guatemala (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Salvador (votes: 2 - 50%). Guatemala (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez M. (G) Alianza FC 20. Cerritos M. Luis Angel Firpo 13. Climaco A. Zeledon 12. Diaz M. Aguila 9. Gil B. Baltika 17. Henriquez J. Aguila 11. Ordaz N. Los Angeles FC 6. Perez J. Odra Opole 4. Rodriguez R. Aguila 2. Sibrian J. (C) Aguila 15. Valladares J. Municipal Limeno	1. Hagen N. (G) Columbus Crew 22. Franco J. Municipal 7. Herrera A. DC United 14. Lom D. Comunicaciones 15. Lopez A. Xelaju 16. Morales J. Municipal 11. Munoz R. Municipal 4. Pinto J. (C) Comunicaciones 13. Robles S. Comunicaciones 3. Samayoa N. Municipal 18. Santis O. Antigua
Substitutes
14. Bonilla E. Municipal Limeno 3. Casamalhuapa K. 16. Castillo F. Cadiz 7. Ceren D. Aguila 5. Clavel R. FAS 10. Duenas E. Alianza FC 19. Rivera J. Metapan 23. Rivera N. Municipal Limeno 18. Romero T. (G) New York City 21. Tejada R. FAS 8. Vasquez Velasquez L. S. Luis Angel Firpo 22. Villalobos B. (G) Aguila	10. Altan P. Municipal 2. Ardon J. Antigua 23. Cardoza E. Xelaju 17. Castellanos O. Antigua 20. Escobar O. CF Montreal 21. Moran L. (G) Antigua 12. Navarro K. (G) Municipal 19. Ordonez A. Loudoun United 6. Ramirez K. Malacateco 5. Rosales J. Antigua 9. Rubin R. Charleston 8. Saravia R. Municipal
Coaches
Gomez H.	Tena L. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Morales J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Santis O. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
49', Ordaz N. 🟨,
58', Lopez A. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
58', Lom D. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
59', Henriquez J. ↓, Rivera N. ↑,
62', Samayoa N. 🟨,
69', Robles S. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
70', Perez J. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
70', Ordaz N. ↓, Tejada R. ↑,
83', Cerritos M. ↓, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↑,
85', Santis O. ↓, Castellanos O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salvador won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Salvador won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvador
FIFA World Cup
10.10.25	Salvador - Panama	0:1 ✺
08.09.25	Salvador - Suriname	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Guatemala - Salvador	0:1 ✺
Gold Cup
24.06.25	Canada - Salvador	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Honduras - Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL
- Guatemala
FIFA World Cup
10.10.25	Suriname - Guatemala	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Panama - Guatemala	1:1 ✺
04.09.25	Guatemala - Salvador	0:1 ✺
Gold Cup
02.07.25	USA - Guatemala	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Canada - Guatemala	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Guatemala - Salvador	0:1
Friendly
31.05.25	Salvador - Guatemala	1:1
27.07.24	Guatemala - Salvador	0:1
CONCACAF Nations League
07.09.23	Guatemala - Salvador	2:0
Friendly
24.04.22	Salvador - Guatemala	0:4
24.09.21	Salvador - Guatemala	0:2
Gold Cup
11.07.21	Salvador - Guatemala	2:0

Salvador - Guatemala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide