Match Info

Gold Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	OneSoccer, RDS 2, RDS App, TLN, TSN 1, TSN 4, Univision Canada, VIVA
Colombia	ESPN 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Saudi-arabia	Aloula, KSA Sports 1
Singapore	HUB Sports 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Sky Sports Korea
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Maincast
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	VIX App


	USA		Guatemala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.27	5.5	10.5
	1.24	5.4	11.5	Watch
	1.29	6.02	11.55
				Watch
	1.29	5	9.5
	1.28	5.89	10.4	Watch
	1.24	5.4	11.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.23)	5.54 ↓ (6.29)	10.83 ↓ (13.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

USA
74.3%

Draw
17%

Guatemala
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.7%

15.2%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Guatemala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	4.3%	0%

USA - Guatemala Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Guatemala (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - USA (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: USA will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Guatemala (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Freese M. (G) New York City 16. Freeman A. Orlando City 3. Richards C. Crystal Palace 13. Ream T. (C) Charlotte FC 18. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 4. Adams T. Bournemouth 14. de la Torre L. San Diego FC 8. Berhalter S. Vancouver Whitecaps 17. Tillman M. PSV 10. Luna D. Real Salt Lake 24. Agyemang P. Charlotte FC	12. Navarro K. (G) Municipal 7. Herrera A. DC United 4. Pinto J. (C) Comunicaciones 3. Samayoa N. Poli Iasi 16. Morales J. Municipal 13. Robles S. Comunicaciones 5. Rosales J. Antigua 11. Munoz R. Municipal 10. Altan P. Municipal 9. Rubin R. Charleston 18. Santis O. Antigua
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. Leeds 21. Aaronson P. Eintracht Frankfurt 9. Downs D. 1. FC Koln 20. Harriel N. Philadelphia Union 6. McGlynn J. Houston Dynamo 22. McKenzie M. Toulouse 12. Robinson M. FC Cincinnati 7. Sullivan Q. Philadelphia Union 2. Tolkin J. Holstein Kiel 1. Turner M. (G) Nottingham 23. White B. Vancouver Whitecaps 5. Zimmerman W. Nashville SC	24. Aguilar C. Malacateco 2. Ardon J. Antigua 23. Cardoza E. Xelaju 17. Castellanos O. Antigua 20. Escobar O. CF Montreal 22. Franco J. Municipal 6. Lemus E. Comunicaciones 14. Lom D. Comunicaciones 21. Moran L. (G) Antigua 19. Ordonez A. Zimbru Chisinau 25. Ramirez K. Malacateco 8. Saravia R. Municipal
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Tena L. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, Tillman M. (A),
45+1', Richards C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Robles S. 🟨,
51', Luna D. 🟨,
55', de la Torre L. 🟨,
58', de la Torre L. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
65', Robles S. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
65', Rosales J. ↓, Castellanos O. ↑,
65', Munoz R. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
70', Altan P. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
70', Rubin R. ↓, Lom D. ↑,
77', Adams T. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
77', Luna D. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
77', Freese M. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Escobar O. ⚽, Ordonez A. (A),
85', Arfsten M. ↓, Zimmerman W. ↑,
85', Agyemang P. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
90+4', Santis O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.

USA is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Guatemala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, USA is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, USA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
Gold Cup
29.06.25	USA - Costa Rica	3:2 penalties ✺
22.06.25	USA - Haiti	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Saudi Arabia - USA	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	USA - Trinidad & Tobago	5:0 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	USA - Switzerland	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Guatemala
Gold Cup
29.06.25	Canada - Guatemala	1:2 penalties ✺
24.06.25	Guadeloupe - Guatemala	2:3 ✺
20.06.25	Guatemala - Panama	0:1 ✺
16.06.25	Jamaica - Guatemala	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Jamaica - Guatemala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
29.03.16	USA - Guatemala	4:0
25.03.16	Guatemala - USA	2:0
Friendly
03.07.15	USA - Guatemala	4:0
05.07.13	USA - Guatemala	6:0
FIFA World Cup
16.10.12	USA - Guatemala	3:1
12.06.12	Guatemala - USA	N/A

USA - Guatemala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide