Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 1

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Independiente del Valle		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.5	13	Watch
	1.21	5.7	11.5	Watch
	1.28	5	12.73
	1.23	5.12	17.22	Watch
	1.22	4.8	12
	1.23	5.54	13.1	Watch
	1.23	5.66	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)	5.33 ↑ (5)	12.94 ↑ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
75.5%

Draw
17.4%

Guayaquil City
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Ind del Valle (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Villar G. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 23. Viacava J. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 7. Mercado P. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 11. Perello M. 31. Pata E. 99. Reasco D.	12. Perea R. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. (C) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 15. Sambonino K. 20. Laurino S. 70. Mancilla P. 10. Diaz D. 11. Mero E. 19. Naula A.
Substitutes
21. Arroyo J. P. 16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 9. Gonzalez C. 53. Lerma J. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 1. Peralta M. (G) 17. Rodriguez A. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.	23. Cabezas E. 8. Humanante J. 5. Julio M. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 1. Napa G. (G) 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 24. Plada G.
Coaches
Papa J.	Gavilanez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Reasco D. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Loor L. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
36', Arias R. 🟨,
36', Sornoza J. 🟨,
37', Alcivar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Mancilla P. ↓, Ladines Calvache E. P. ↑,
56', Diaz D. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
72', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
73', Pata E. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
74', Naula A. 🟨,
76', Sornoza J. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
76', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
82', Sambonino K. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
82', Laurino S. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
86', Perello M. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
86', Arias R. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.

Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind del Valle is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 15 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 39:9. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:6. (average 2.4:0.6).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.12.25	Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
10.12.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTTL
- Guayaquil City FC
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.10.25	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
22.10.25	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
24.09.24	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	1:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.10.23	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	0:2
14.05.23	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	4:0
22.08.22	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	0:1
10.04.22	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	0:0
07.11.21	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	0:2
22.05.21	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	3:0

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