Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 28

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Cuenca		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.40	4.80
	1.58	3.45	5.3	Watch
	1.66	3.69	5.73
	1.64	3.65	5.55	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5.55
	1.64	3.59	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	5.45 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
57.1%

Draw
25.9%

Guayaquil City
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

27.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 19. Diaz M. 30. Maccari M. 8. Vega E. 37. Arboleda C. 88. Benalcazar C.	1. Napa G. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 16. Ordonez J. 23. Bolanos M. (C) 80. Gonzalez P. 11. Mero E.
Substitutes
14. Chacon J. 49. Gonzalez D. 23. Guevara E. 10. Ibarra R. 21. Jimenez M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 5. Noboa D. 43. Ordonez J. 11. Rivero G. 15. Solis Jaramillo M. A.	51. Cabezas E. 33. Caicedo R. 7. Caicedo S. 21. Dorregaray D. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 70. Mancilla P. 19. Naula A. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 50. Rivadeneira F. 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.
Coaches
Neculman D.	Gavilanez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Postel S. 🟨,
27', Bolanos M. 🟨,
28', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
35', Maccari M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Arboleda C. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
66', Mancinelli L. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
74', Bolanos M. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Benalcazar C. ⚽,
81', Laurino S. ↓, Mancilla P. ↑,
81', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
82', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
82', Diaz M. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
82', Arroyo D. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
87', Mero E. ↓, Palma M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 4.

Deportivo Cuenca is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guayaquil City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.08.26	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.05.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	2:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.09.23	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0
15.04.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	4:1
11.07.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	1:0
20.02.22	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0
31.07.21	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1

Upcoming Matches