Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday


	Gubbio		Matelica

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.75
	2.45	3.1	2.65
	2.5	3	2.65
	2.49	2.8	2.8
	2.63	3.14	2.81
	2.62	2.9	2.8
	2.54	3.1	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	2.74 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
36.3%

Draw
30.2%

Matelica
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.7%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

22.1%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matelica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gubbio - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Gubbio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matelica is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
21.03.21	FeralpiSalò - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Gubbio - Perugia	3:2 ✺
13.03.21	Virtus Verona - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Gubbio - Ravenna	3:1 ✺
03.03.21	Triestina - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWT
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
21.03.21	Matelica - Fermana	5:1 ✺
17.03.21	Cesena - Matelica	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Matelica - Padova	4:1 ✺
07.03.21	Matelica - Legnago Salus	5:1 ✺
03.03.21	Ravenna - Matelica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.12.20	Matelica - Gubbio	1:3

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