Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Gubbio		Olbia

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.5	3.75	7
	1.48	3.94	7.34
	1.49	3.94	7.34
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.47	3.74	6.5
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.82)	3.77 ↑ (3.25)	6.67 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
62%

Draw
24.3%

Olbia
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olbia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gubbio - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 19. Morelli G. 15. Signorini A. 90. Portanova D. 3. Mercadante M. 8. Rosaia G. 5. Mercati A. 28. Spina M. 18. Chierico L. 9. Montevago D. 11. Udoh P.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 3. La Rosa L. (C) 21. Biancu R. 20. Cavuoti N. 10. Ragatzu D. 11. Contini G. 67. Scapin T.
Substitutes
10. Bulevardi D. 6. Casolari F. 21. Corsinelli F. 38. Di Gianni V. 23. Dimarco C. 27. Frey D. 77. Greco S. (G) 25. Guerrini V. 31. Pirrello R. 4. Tozzuolo A.	27. Blacksmiths 30. Caggiu M. 4. Dessena D. 6. Incerti D. F. 72. Mameli A. 18. Nanni N. 12. Palmisani L. (G) 17. Palomba L. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 13).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olbia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
15.10.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Rimini - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.23	Pescara - Gubbio	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
08.10.23	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Olbia - Ancona	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Olbia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
19.09.23	Arezzo - Olbia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.03.23	Gubbio - Olbia	0:1
29.10.22	Olbia - Gubbio	1:3
13.02.22	Gubbio - Olbia	1:1
03.10.21	Olbia - Gubbio	1:0

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