The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Entella 49.9%
Draw 30.5%
Gubbio 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
30.2%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
29%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Virtus Entella - Gubbio Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gubbio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 70. Bariti D. 9. Castelli D. 14. Corbari A. 26. Di Mario S. 24. Franzoni A. 77. Guiu B. 21. Lipani J. 15. Marconi I. 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A.
22. Venturi G. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. 30. Fossati D. 78. Iaccarino G. 80. Proietti M. 33. Rocchi G. 8. Rosaia G. (C) 11. Rovaglia P. 13. Stramaccioni D. 4. Tozzuolo A. 24. Zallu F.
Substitutes
10. Casarotto M. 40. Costa G. 47. Di Noia G. 16. Manzi C. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 7. Tomaselli G. 32. Zappella D.
37. Bita O. 1. Bolletta L. (G) 34. Conti V. 25. David A. 5. D'Avino L. 39. Mancini R. 31. Pirrello R. 15. Signorini A. 16. Sportolaro C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Guiu B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Corsinelli F. ⚽,
58', Corbari A. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
61', Rovaglia P. ↓, David A. ↑,
62', Costa G. 🟨,
64', Proietti M. 🟨,
67', Stramaccioni D. 🟨,
72', Bariti D. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
75', Stramaccioni D. ↓, Signorini A. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Guiu B. ⚽,
82', Guiu B. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
82', Castelli D. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
83', Parodi L. ↓, Manzi C. ↑,
84', Proietti M. ↓, D'Avino L. ↑,
84', Rocchi G. ↓, Mancini R. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Gubbio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.3:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).