The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gudja United 29.1%
Draw 26.8%
Sirens 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
26%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
25.9%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gudja United's form might have worsened.
Sirens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sirens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gudja United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sirens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gudja United - Sirens Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gudja United won 1.
Gudja United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sirens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gudja United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sirens has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gudja United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gudja United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Sirens
2
1
1
0
2:1
1
4
15
Gudja
2
0
0
2
0:5
-5
0
Last Results with these Odds
Sirens - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.