Match Info

Challenge League - Round 10

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Mġarr United		Sirens

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.82	3.45	2.12	Watch
	2.8	3.49	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.99	3.34	2.14
	3.33	3.33	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.4)	3.38 ↓ (3.75)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
30.9%

Draw
26.6%

Sirens
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

24.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mġarr United's form might have worsened.

Sirens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mġarr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Mġarr United - Sirens Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sirens (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Nonato T. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Zammit T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 1 - 2, Debono J. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Akadom H. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Cristhyan Noto ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mġarr United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sirens has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mġarr United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
13.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Mġarr United - Melita	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Marsa - Mġarr United	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Mġarr United - Santa Lucia	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWTW
- Sirens FC
Maltese Challenge League
14.12.25	Sirens - Swieqi United	1:1 ✺
11.12.25	Sirens - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	Sirens - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
30.11.25	St. Andrews - Sirens	0:4 ✺
22.11.25	Sirens - Melita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
18.01.25	Sirens - Mġarr United	4:4

Mġarr United - Sirens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide