Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Guijuelo		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.72	3.3	5
	1.74	3.28	4.97
	1.72	3.28	4.97
	1.74	3.3	5
	1.74	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	3.27 ↓ (3.54)	4.81 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guijuelo
52.9%

Draw
28%

Covadonga
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Guijuelo - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Dominguez Penin X. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 2 - 0, Garban S. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Guijuelo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guijuelo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guijuelo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.03.24	Arandina - Guijuelo	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Guijuelo - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Rayo Cantabria - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Real Oviedo B - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWTL
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.03.24	Covadonga - Cayón	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Langreo - Covadonga	0:4 ✺
03.03.24	Covadonga - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Covadonga	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Covadonga - RC Villalbes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.11.23	Covadonga - Guijuelo	0:0
09.05.21	Guijuelo - Covadonga	3:1
11.04.21	Covadonga - Guijuelo	3:3

Guijuelo - Covadonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide