Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Guijuelo		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.5	3.25	2.55
	2.8	2.95	2.42
	2.9	3.2	2.55
	2.88	2.9	2.5
	2.8	3.13	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.53)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	2.5 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guijuelo
33.6%

Draw
29.7%

Ferrol
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

21.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guijuelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guijuelo - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage)).

Guijuelo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Guijuelo have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guijuelo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Guijuelo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.20	Unionistas de Salamanca - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Coruxo - Guijuelo	2:1 ✺
22.11.20	Guijuelo - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.20	Badajoz - Guijuelo	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.11.20	Compostela - Guijuelo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.20	Ferrol - Coruxo	4:0 ✺
29.11.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Ferrol - Compostela	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Salamanca - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
01.11.20	Ferrol - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.02.18	Ferrol - Guijuelo	0:2
24.09.17	Guijuelo - Ferrol	0:1
15.01.17	Guijuelo - Ferrol	2:2
28.08.16	Ferrol - Guijuelo	0:1
20.03.16	Ferrol - Guijuelo	1:0
31.10.15	Guijuelo - Ferrol	0:1
05.04.15	Ferrol - Guijuelo	2:1

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