The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guijuelo 60.8%
Draw 26.7%
La Virgen del Camino 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
27.3%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
28.1%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guijuelo's performance.
La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Virgen del Camino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Virgen del Camino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guijuelo - La Virgen del Camino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Martin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
Guijuelo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
La Virgen is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guijuelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guijuelo is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guijuelo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
Including home match between the teams, Guijuelo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Watch
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