Match Info

Date: 13 October 2021, Wednesday


	Guijuelo		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	2.95	3.5	2.05
	2.95	3.05	2.25
	3.06	3.12	2.32
	3	2.9	2.3
	2.94	3.24	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.84)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)	2.21 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guijuelo
30.4%

Draw
28.5%

Navalcarnero
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.8%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

16.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guijuelo's performance.

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navalcarnero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Guijuelo - Navalcarnero Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Guijuelo will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Navalcarnero will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guijuelo: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Guijuelo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guijuelo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guijuelo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guijuelo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.10.21	Bembibre - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Guijuelo - Deportivo Toledo	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.10.21	Guijuelo - Atlético Palencia	5:0 ✺
19.09.21	Guijuelo - Arandina	2:0 ✺
12.09.21	Ribert - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWWT
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.21	Navalcarnero - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.21	Palencia CA - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Navalcarnero - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.05.19	Navalcarnero - Guijuelo	0:1
16.12.18	Guijuelo - Navalcarnero	1:1
28.03.18	Guijuelo - Navalcarnero	0:1
05.11.17	Navalcarnero - Guijuelo	2:2

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