Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.56	3.6	5.4
	1.6	3.51	6.13
	1.57	3.55	5.91	Watch
	1.56	3.62	6.06
	1.56	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	5.69 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
58.4%

Draw
25.5%

Guijuelo
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.3%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

27.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Numancia - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Sanchidrian R. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Morales A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Morales A. ⚽,
42', Garcia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 2 - 2, Fernandez D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Numancia is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Numancia	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Numancia - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Laredo - Numancia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTW
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.12.24	Rayo Cantabria - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Guijuelo - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Marino de Luanco - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Guijuelo - Langreo	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTTL

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