Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Guillermo Brown		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.63
	3	2.7	2.55
	3.1	2.7	2.6
	3.17	2.68	2.79
	3.12	2.69	2.68	Watch
	3	2.7	2.6
	3.1	2.73	2.57
	3.1	2.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.7)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)	2.63 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
30.2%

Draw
34.3%

Estudiantes de Caseros
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Guillermo Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Herranz N. 6. Martinez E. 3. Pinto M. 8. Luayza M. 5. Riquelme R. D. 10. Machado C. 7. Gorgerino C. 11. Fernandez M. 9. Galeano M.	1. Budino M. (G) 4. Ledesma D. 2. Perales V. (C) 6. Benitez J. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Del Col M. 5. Miranda F. 10. Vallejos I. 11. Bacas T. 7. Beron J. 9. Acosta M.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez B. 13. Bazzana N. 14. Gonzales E. 17. Gutierrez S. 19. Jara M. 15. Marin F. 18. Perez R. 20. Sandoval H. 12. Soria M. (G)	12. Amade L. (G) 15. Brinone S. 17. Contreras E. 20. Fagundez F. 18. Luna E. 13. Lusnig L. 14. Mayorga S. 19. Ovando L. 16. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Sialle A.	Otta W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Fernandez M. ↓, Gutierrez S. ↑,
31', 1 - 0, Galeano M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Vallejos I. ⚽,
45', Beron J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Beron J. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
46', Bacas T. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
46', Gorgerino C. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
59', Perales V. 🟨,
61', Benitez J. 🟨,
63', Del Col M. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
66', Galeano M. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
69', Sandoval H. 🟨,
71', Vallejos I. 🟨,
78', Vallejos I. 🟨,
81', Acosta M. ↓, Mayorga S. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Werro V. ⚽,
85', Ledesma D. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
87', Luayza M. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
87', Machado C. ↓, Bazzana N. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Sandoval H. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

CA Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.08.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Guillermo Brown - Quilmes	1:2 ✺
03.08.24	San Miguel - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Guillermo Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1 ✺
21.07.24	Deportivo Maipú - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.08.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de Tucumán	1:3 ✺
27.07.24	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Club Almagro - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	2:1
06.08.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	3:2
08.12.19	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	1:1

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