Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 24

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Maipú		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5.25
	1.73	3.2	4.8
	1.72	3.3	5
	1.78	3.41	5.38
	2.15	2.86	3.99	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5.5
	1.73	3.28	5.1
	1.71	3.35	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.11)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	5 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
52.6%

Draw
28.7%

Guillermo Brown
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maipú's performance.

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guillermo Brown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maipú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guillermo Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Deportivo Maipú - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Maipú: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (G) 4. Moyano S. 2. Paulini S. 6. Taron M. 3. Ozuna E. 7. Sosa M. 5. Montero F. 8. Del Priore N. 11. Viguet M. 9. Rasic F. 10. Gomez G. A.	1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Martinez E. 3. Pinto M. 7. Gonzales E. 5. Riquelme R. D. 8. Luayza M. 10. Machado C. 11. Gorgerino C. 9. Galeano M.
Substitutes
19. Almiron E. 14. Coronel F. 17. Cruz A. 18. Gaitan D. 16. Giaccone F. 12. Noce J. (G) 13. Paredes L. 15. Ramirez R. 20. Solari M.	16. Funes F. 18. Gutierrez S. 14. Marin F. 19. Moreno M. 15. Perez R. 20. Sandoval H. 17. Silva A. 12. Soria M. (G) 13. Velasquez S.
Coaches
Sara J.	Sialle A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Pinto M. 🟥,
22', Del Priore N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luayza M. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Sosa M. ⚽,
61', Gonzales E. ↓, Gutierrez S. ↑,
62', Galeano M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
65', Montero F. ↓, Giaccone F. ↑,
65', Gomez G. A. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
75', Rasic F. ↓, Almiron E. ↑,
83', Riquelme R. D. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
88', Viguet M. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
88', Del Priore N. ↓, Gaitan D. ↑,
90+1', Werro V. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
90+4', Cruz A. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Deportivo Maipú is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Racing de Córdoba - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Maipú	1:1
24.04.22	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Maipú	0:1

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