Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 25

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Guillermo Brown		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.8	2.45
	3.2	2.75	2.37
	3.25	2.8	2.4
	3.49	2.76	2.52
	3.46	2.74	2.43	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.38
	3.31	2.79	2.4
	3.3	2.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.18)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)	2.42 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
28%

Draw
33.5%

Ferro Carril Oeste
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.8%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Guillermo Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Bazzana N. 3. Gorgerino C. 4. Werro V. 5. Riquelme R. D. 6. Martinez E. 7. Gutierrez S. 8. Luayza M. 9. Galeano M. 10. Machado C. 11. Fernandez M.	1. Ruiz L. (G) 4. Murillo F. 2. Lorenzo A. 6. Boolsen P. 3. Rodriguez M. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 8. Mussis F. 7. Retamar K. 10. Mosca C. 11. Sosa A. 9. Levato M.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez B. 16. Funes F. 14. Gonzales E. 19. Jara M. 15. Marin F. 17. Perez R. 20. Sandoval H. 12. Soria M. (G) 13. Velasquez S.	13. Arena N. 18. Blanco R. 15. Caceres F. 16. Di Lena F. 20. Esidin T. 14. Fernandez Pinto J. 17. Garcia F. 19. Garcia S. 12. Monllor M. (G)
Coaches
Sialle A.	Cordon J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Machado C. ⚽,
44', Sosa A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
68', Mussis F. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
68', Retamar K. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
68', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
71', Boolsen P. 🟨,
72', Machado C. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Galeano M. ⚽,
83', Fernandez Pinto J. ↓, Caceres F. ↑,
85', Riquelme R. D. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez M. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
90+1', Galeano M. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
90+2', Luayza M. ↓, Jara M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ferro Carril could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ferro Carril will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.07.24	Deportivo Maipú - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Racing de Córdoba - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTTTW
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.07.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
14.07.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de Tucumán	3:1 ✺
30.06.24	Chacarita Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	1:2
16.05.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	1:0
25.09.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	0:0
16.05.21	Guillermo Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1
29.09.19	Guillermo Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0
01.09.18	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	2:0
05.11.17	Guillermo Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:0

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