Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Guillermo Brown		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	3
	2.7	2.7	2.75
	2.7	2.75	2.9
	3.23	2.78	2.54
	2.79	2.65	3.03	Watch
	2.62	2.75	2.88
	2.69	2.68	2.95
	2.7	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.04)	2.73 ↑ (2.7)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
33.5%

Draw
34.1%

Quilmes
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

34.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

33.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Guillermo Brown - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillermo Brown: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Gonzalez E. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Martinez E. 3. Pinto M. 8. Perez R. 5. Riquelme R. D. 7. Gutierrez S. 10. Machado C. 9. Galeano M. 11. Fernandez M.	1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Moya S. 6. Ferreira M. 3. Sanchez A. 8. Enrique M. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 7. Parisi L. 10. Gonzalez T. 9. Bordagaray F. 11. Capano J.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez B. 17. Chiavetto A. 15. Gorgerino C. 13. Herranz N. 19. Jara M. 16. Marin F. 20. Sandoval H. 12. Soria M. (G) 14. Werro V.	20. Alanis M. 12. Gagliardo M. (G) 18. Luna R. 17. Martinez R. 13. Perez F. 16. Postigo J.
Coaches
Sialle A.	Rondina S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Giovini S. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Parisi L. (Pen),
43', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gonzalez E. ↓, Werro V. ↑,
46', Gutierrez S. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
47', Moya S. 🟨,
59', Capano J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
75', Enrique M. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Gonzalez T. ⚽,
85', Parisi L. ↓, Romeo L. ↑,
85', Bordagaray F. ↓, Alanis M. ↑,
86', Perez R. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
86', Gonzalez T. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
90+3', Fernandez M. ↓, Jara M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.24	San Miguel - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Guillermo Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1 ✺
21.07.24	Deportivo Maipú - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLTT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.08.24	Quilmes - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
22.07.24	Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	0:4 ✺
07.07.24	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.24	Quilmes - Guillermo Brown	1:0
02.05.22	Quilmes - Guillermo Brown	1:0
14.04.19	Guillermo Brown - Quilmes	2:1
18.02.18	Guillermo Brown - Quilmes	1:2
23.06.12	Guillermo Brown - Quilmes	0:2

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