Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	2.87	3
	2.5	2.9	3
	2.67	2.81	3.16
	2.67	2.79	3.16
	2.5	2.88	2.9
	2.55	2.83	3
	2.47	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	2.87 ↑ (2.84)	3.04 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
36.8%

Draw
32.5%

Tristán Suárez
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

33.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

33.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Velasquez S. 3. Pinto M. 8. Gorgerino C. 5. Marin F. 10. Luayza M. 7. Machado C. 9. Galeano M. 11. Fernandez M.	1. Mendive J. (G) 4. Regules I. 2. Iriarte I. 6. Negro B. 3. Ortega T. 8. Cechi I. 5. Bellocq F. 10. Ruiz P. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Almada A. 11. Da Rosa J. E.
Substitutes
17. Alvarez B. 15. Chiavetto A. 16. Funes F. 19. Jara M. 14. Martinez E. 18. Moreno M. 13. Riquelme R. D. 20. Sandoval H. 12. Soria M. (G)	16. Banuera G. 15. Berges F. 17. Fernandez J. 14. Lautaro G. 13. Meza L. 19. Molina F. 20. Ramos L. 12. Silva L. (G) 18. Versaci F.
Coaches
Sialle A.	Martinez J. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Luayza M. ⚽,
25', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Versaci F. ↑,
29', 2 - 0, Machado C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Negro B. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
64', Galeano M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Cechi I. ⚽,
69', Machado C. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
81', Almada A. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
82', Luayza M. ↓, Chiavetto A. ↑,
82', Gorgerino C. ↓, Riquelme R. D. ↑,
89', Molina F. 🟨,
90+7', Lavezzi A. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 16).

Guillermo Brown is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tristán Suárez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillermo Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.05.24	All Boys - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Guillermo Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	San Martín de San Juan - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Guillermo Brown - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLW
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.24	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
19.05.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Tristán Suárez	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Chacarita Juniors - Tristán Suárez	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.06.22	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	1:0
02.10.21	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:0
09.06.21	Tristán Suárez - Guillermo Brown	1:0

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