Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45
	3	2.8	2.45
	3	2.85	2.5
	2.88	3.13	2.62
	3.19	2.78	2.66
	3	2.8	2.5
	3.01	2.8	2.57
	3.05	2.9	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.64)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	2.53 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
30.8%

Draw
32.3%

Deportivo Madryn
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

32.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

32.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soria M. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Velasquez S. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Machado C. 5. Chiavetto A. 10. Luayza M. 11. Pinto M. 7. Fernandez M. 9. Galeano M.	1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Calderon P. 6. Zules J. 3. Moreno A. 8. Peinipil M. 5. Recalde F. 7. Crego D. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Diellos D. 11. Ferreyra B.
Coaches
Sialle A.	Gracian L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Machado C. 🟨,
21', Velasquez S. 🟨,
25', Luayza M. 🟨,
42', Bazzana N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Gorgerino C. 🟨,
57', Galeano M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Sanchez N. ⚽,
71', Gorgerino C. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
71', Machado C. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
76', Peinipil M. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
77', Ferreyra B. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
77', Diellos D. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
78', Ardiles F. 🟨,
82', Pinto M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
85', Sialle A. 🟥,
90+9', Moreno A. ↓, Zuliani H. ↑,
90+10', Sanchez N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
90+14', 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 14).

Guillermo Brown is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Madryn is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	San Martín de San Juan - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Guillermo Brown - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Guillermo Brown - Chacarita Juniors	0:3 ✺
07.04.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTLL
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.22	Deportivo Madryn - Guillermo Brown	0:1

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