Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	4.33	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.5
	2.08	2.82	3.9	Watch
	2.17	2.91	4.2
	2.06	2.80	4.39	Watch
	2.14	2.78	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.19)	2.84 ↓ (2.87)	4.07 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
44.3%

Draw
32.8%

Tristán Suárez
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

32.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Sarandí: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Purita E. 2. Roselli N. 6. Mihovilcevich L. 3. Serrano V. 8. Lucero M. 5. Colletta T. 10. Fernandez E. 7. Gonzalez T. 9. Sabatini I. 11. Batista A.	1. Sumavil N. (G) 7. Steimbach A. 4. Felissia L. 2. Ostachuk P. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Fernandez N. 10. Veliez A. 8. Villegas L. 5. Del Priore N. 9. Dominguez A. 11. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
18. Bordagaray F. 14. Cabrera I. 19. Klusener G. 12. Mekbel F. (G) 15. Payes A. 17. Rius C. 20. Sayago D. 13. Vera M. 16. Vila J.	19. Almiron E. 18. Da Rosa J. E. 12. Monllor D. (G) 16. Moreyra G. 14. Olguin M. 15. Perez T. 17. Ruiz P. 20. Sosa A. 13. Taron M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
44', Pantaleone N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Purita E. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
74', Fernandez M. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
74', Veliez A. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
82', Felissia L. 🟨,
88', Steimbach A. ↓, Olguin M. ↑,
88', Villegas L. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
90+3', Batista A. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
90+3', Fernandez E. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arsenal Sarandí could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Club Almagro - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLWL
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.25	Tristán Suárez - All Boys	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Alvarado - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.25	Tristán Suárez - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1
06.10.24	Tristán Suárez - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0
19.05.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Tristán Suárez	0:2

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