Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 3

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Referee: Kpan C. (Ivo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL


	Guinea		Ethiopia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.1	5
	1.72	3.4	5	Watch
	1.72	3.25	6.26
	1.76	3.34	5.03	Watch
	1.53	3.5	6.5
	1.7	3.4	5.47	Watch
	1.72	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	5.47 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guinea
55.1%

Draw
27.9%

Ethiopia
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

25.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guinea's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Guinea - Ethiopia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guinea will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Ethiopia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guinea: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Camara M. (G) Horoya 12. Diakite I. Cercle Brugge 5. Sow S. Strasbourg 4. Conte I. FC UTA Arad 3. Sylla I. (C) Montpellier 7. Camara M. PAOK 15. Cisse S. Leganes 23. Toure A. Le Havre 14. Sylla M. Arouca 9. Guirassy S. Dortmund 19. Kamano F. Damac	22. Habtamu S. (G) Adama City 14. Bekele B. Sidama Bunna 5. Kasa F. Hadiya Hossana 16. Baye Y. Bahir Dar Kenema 2. Hamid S. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 6. Panom G. (C) Fasil Kenema 15. Demissie A. Welayta Dicha 17. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema 19. Dagnachew S. Fasil Kenema 8. Markneh C. Mechal SC 7. Yalew A. ZED FC
Substitutes
8. Bah A. APOEL 10. Balde A. Bochum 11. Bayo M. Lille 18. Camara A. Ludogorets 1. Camara O. (G) 6. Conde C. Zurich 2. Conte A. Botev Plovdiv 20. Diawara K. Pau 22. Keita M. Ashanti GB (SAG) 17. Lamine Soumah M. 13. Oulare N. Boluspor 21. Sylla S. Den Haag	10. Belay B. Hawassa 20. Biniam A. Adama City 12. Desta B. Mechal SC 1. Getahun F. (G) Ethiopia Nigd Bank 18. Gezahegn W. Ethiopian Insurance 3. James R. Ethiopia Bunna 13. Mamo D. Mechal SC 11. Nassir M. Dire Dawa 23. Nuri A. (G) Ethiopian Insurance 4. Solomon M. 9. Tafesse M. Sidama Bunna 21. Tunjo A. Dire Dawa
Coaches
Paquille C.	Haile G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', Habtamu S. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
38', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Cisse S. (A),
45+2', 3 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Kamano F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Baye Y. ↓, James R. ↑,
46', Demissie A. ↓, Gezahegn W. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Cisse S. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
53', 4 - 1, Markneh C. ⚽,
54', Markneh C. 🟨,
64', Guirassy S. ↓, Bayo M. ↑,
65', Conte I. ↓, Conte A. ↑,
67', Hamid S. ↓, Tunjo A. ↑,
72', Dagnachew S. ↓, Biniam A. ↑,
72', Gugsa C. ↓, Desta B. ↑,
76', Camara M. ↓, Conde C. ↑,
76', Kamano F. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
90+1', Cisse S. ↓, Camara A. ↑,

Preview

In this match Guinea is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guinea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
10.09.24	Guinea - Tanzania	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	D.R. Congo - Guinea	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Guinea - Mozambique	0:1 ✺
06.06.24	Algeria - Guinea	1:2 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Guinea - Bermuda	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLLWW
- Ethiopia
Africa Cup of Nations
09.09.24	Ethiopia - D.R. Congo	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Tanzania - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Djibouti - Ethiopia	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Guinea Bissau - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
Friendly
24.03.24	Ethiopia - Lesotho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
27.03.23	Ethiopia - Guinea	2:3
24.03.23	Guinea - Ethiopia	2:0

Guinea - Ethiopia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide