Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 2

Date: 9 September 2024, Monday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Referee: Benbraham L. (Alg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Ethiopia		D.R. Congo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.3	1.55
	6.5	3.4	1.6	Watch
	6.12	3.42	1.61
	5.51	3.56	1.66	Watch
	6.41	3.42	1.62
	6.5	3.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↓ (7)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	1.61 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia
15.1%

Draw
27.1%

D.R. Congo
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

25.3%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

D.R. Congo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	6.2%	81.2%

Ethiopia - D.R. Congo Predictions

Users Predictions: D.R. Congo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Habtamu S. (G) Adama City 5. Kasa F. Hadiya Hossana 19. Hamid S. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 16. Baye Y. Bahir Dar Kenema 3. Kassaye Y. Ethiopian Insurance 6. Panom G. (C) Fasil Kenema 13. Wolde B. St. Georges 12. Bekele B. Sidama Bunna 7. Dagnachew S. Fasil Kenema 21. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema 8. Markneh C. Mechal SC	16. Bertaud D. (G) Montpellier 12. Kayembe J. Genk 2. Inonga H. FAR Rabat 22. Mbemba Ch. (C) Marseille 4. Tuanzebe A. Ipswich 8. Moutoussamy S. Sivasspor 7. Akolo C. St. Gallen 18. Pickel C. Cremonese 20. Wissa Y. Brentford 14. Kakuta G. Esteghlal TEH 9. Essende S. Augsburg
Substitutes
10. Belay B. St. Georges 9. Biniam A. Adama City 15. Demissie A. Welayta Dicha 11. Fikre B. Welayta Dicha 17. Gebru A. 1. Getahun F. (G) Ethiopia Nigd Bank 18. Gezahegn W. Ethiopian Insurance 2. Jemal F. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 23. Nuri A. (G) Ethiopian Insurance 4. Solomon M. 14. Wondimu M. Mechal SC 20. Yusef R.	23. Banza S. Trabzonspor 5. Batubinsika D. St Etienne 10. Bongonda T. Spartak Moscow 15. Bushiri R. Hibernian 13. Elia M. Young Boys 21. Fayulu T. (G) Sion 24. Kalulu G. Lorient 25. Kayembe E. Watford 26. Masuaku A. Besiktas 19. Mayele F. Pyramids 1. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) Rodez 17. Sadiki N. Royale Union SG
Coaches
Haile G.	Desabre S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Wolde B. 🟨,
33', Akolo C. ↓, Bongonda T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kakuta G. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Bongonda T. ⚽, Kayembe J. (A),
64', Wolde B. ↓, Demissie A. ↑,
64', Gugsa C. ↓, Belay B. ↑,
65', Kasa F. 🟨,
69', Wissa Y. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
69', Essende S. ↓, Mayele F. ↑,
71', Belay B. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Mayele F. ⚽, Elia M. (A),
77', Hamid S. ↓, Biniam A. ↑,
80', Pickel C. ↓, Sadiki N. ↑,
83', Dagnachew S. ↓, Wondimu M. ↑,

Preview

D.R. Congo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match D.R. Congo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ethiopia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia
Africa Cup of Nations
04.09.24	Tanzania - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Djibouti - Ethiopia	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Guinea Bissau - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
Friendly
24.03.24	Ethiopia - Lesotho	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Ethiopia - Lesotho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTTWL
- D.R. Congo
Africa Cup of Nations
06.09.24	D.R. Congo - Guinea	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	D.R. Congo - Togo	1:0 ✺
06.06.24	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
10.02.24	South Africa - D.R. Congo	1:0 penalties ✺
07.02.24	Ivory Coast - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
17.01.16	D.R. Congo - Ethiopia	3:0

Ethiopia - D.R. Congo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide