Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio 24 de Setembro (Bissau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Guinea-bissau	TGB
India	FanCode, FanCode
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Sierra-leone	AYV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Guinea Bissau		Sierra Leone

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.75	Watch
	2	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.18	2.98	3.55
	2.16	3.1	3.73
	2.18	2.87	3.82	Watch
				Watch
	2.27	3.01	3.58	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guinea Bissau
43.6%

Draw
30.6%

Sierra Leone
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guinea Bissau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sierra Leone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	28.6%	23.8%

Guinea Bissau - Sierra Leone Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Guinea Bissau will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Sierra Leone will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guinea Bissau: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Guinea Bissau (votes: 3 - 60%). Sierra Leone (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Guinea Bissau (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Guinea Bissau (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sierra Leone (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Sesay A. (G) Bhantal
	21. Bah J. Nice
	4. Dumbuya A. Zabbar
	14. Fornah T. Northampton
	2. Kakay O. FC Kosice
	10. Kamara K. (C) FC Cincinnati
	7. Kargbo A. Blackburn
	8. Koroma A. Al-Shahaniya
	19. Samadiya E.
	18. Tarawallie S. Kallon
	5. Turay A. El Gouna
Substitutes
	20. Bilili Sesay J.
	11. Bundu M. Hannover
	9. Buya Turay M. Zhetysu Taldykorgan
	22. Dumbuya M. Kallon
	6. Fofanah S. Zhetysu Taldykorgan
	13. Fornah S. SLIFA
	16. Jalloh M. (G) VPS
	12. Jalloh N. Kallon
	15. Kabba M. B. Bo Rangers
	17. Kamara M. Minnesota United
	23. Koroma F. (G)
	3. Sesay M. G. Kallon
Coaches
	. Kallon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Dumbuya A. 🟨,
39', Encada J. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Kamara K. ⚽, Tarawallie S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Bah J. 🟨,
66', Bah J. ↓, Kabba M. B. ↑,
69', Beto ↓, Franculino ↑,
69', Bura ↓, Nito ↑,
69', Dalcio ↓, Nhaga R. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Balde M. ⚽, Mane C. (A),
79', Encada J. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
79', Camara M. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
86', Kamara K. ↓, Buya Turay M. ↑,
86', Kargbo A. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
90', Fornah T. 🟨,
90+3', Dumbuya A. ↓, Fofanah S. ↑,

Preview

Guinea Bissau could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guinea Bissau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guinea Bissau
Friendly
09.06.25	Guinea Bissau - Gabon	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Guinea Bissau - Burundi	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Guinea Bissau - Burkina Faso	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau	3:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Guinea Bissau - Mozambique	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sierra Leone
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Egypt - Sierra Leone	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau	3:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Sierra Leone - Zambia	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Chad - Sierra Leone	1:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
01.11.24	Liberia - Sierra Leone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau	3:1
Africa Cup of Nations
11.09.23	Guinea Bissau - Sierra Leone	2:1
13.06.22	Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau	2:2

Guinea Bissau - Sierra Leone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide