Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 6

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio 24 de Setembro (Bissau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Burkina-faso	RTB
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Guinea-bissau	TGB
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Guinea Bissau		Burkina Faso

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.8	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.5	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.25	Watch
	3.89	2.88	2.17	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5	Watch
	4.02	2.82	2.2	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.88)	2.86 (2.86)	2.3 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guinea Bissau
26.3%

Draw
32.9%

Burkina Faso
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

33.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guinea Bissau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guinea Bissau's form might have worsened.

Burkina Faso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burkina Faso's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	18.7%	75%

Guinea Bissau - Burkina Faso Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Guinea Bissau will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Burkina Faso will win (votes: 12 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burkina Faso: 59.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Balde M. (G) Penafiel 8. Alfa Semedo (C) Neom SC 21. Banjaqui Z. Feirense 9. Beto Everton 19. Bikel J. Netanya 15. Encada J. Pharco FC 5. Fati B. SJK 10. Mane C. Kayserispor 2. Rofino V. G. Leiria 3. Sambinha Maccabi Bnei Raina 6. Ze Turbo AEL Limassol	16. Koffi H. (C) Lens 19. Bande H. HJK 5. Djiga N. Wolves 9. Kabore I. Werder Bremen 4. Nagalo A. PSV 7. Ouattara Da. Bournemouth 11. Simpore S. National Bank Egypt 20. Tiendrebeogo J. Annecy 2. Traore L. Shakhtar 3. Yago S. Aris Limassol 6. Zougrana M. MC Alger
Substitutes
17. Batista G. Moreirense 13. Camara S. 1. Djalo M. (G) Koeppchen 23. Embadje F. (G) Collado Villalba 18. Felix V. Vitoria Guimaraes 7. Franculino Midtjylland 22. Jardel Shmona 11. Jorginho Omonia Aradippou 4. Junior M. Oliveirense 20. Mane S. Academico Viseu 14. Monteiro T. Portimonense	8. Badolo C. Spartak Trnava 15. Dao M. Sonabel Ouagadougou 13. Konate M. Al Riyadh 23. Nikiema K. (G) Den Haag 1. Ouedraogo F. (G) AS Vita Club 21. Salou D. Hapoel Haifa 22. Toure I. B. Pyramids 10. Traore B. Ajax 17. Yabre M. A. ASEC Mimosas
Coaches
Boa Morte L.	Brama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Traore L. ⚽, Ouattara Da. (A),
35', Kabore I. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Banjaqui Z. ⚽, Alfa Semedo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Encada J. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
53', Yago S. 🟨,
59', Fati B. ↓, Batista G. ↑,
60', Bande H. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
60', Zougrana M. ↓, Toure I. B. ↑,
65', Simpore S. 🟨,
68', Ze Turbo 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Traore L. ⚽, Nagalo A. (A),
75', Rofino V. G. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
75', Ze Turbo ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
75', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Jardel ↑,
79', Traore L. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
79', Tiendrebeogo J. ↓, Badolo C. ↑,
90+7', Alfa Semedo 🟨,

Preview

Guinea Bissau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guinea Bissau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guinea Bissau
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau	3:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Guinea Bissau - Mozambique	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Eswatini - Guinea Bissau	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Guinea Bissau - Mali	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Mali - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTL
- Burkina Faso
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Burkina Faso - Djibouti	4:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
22.12.24	Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso	2:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Malawi - Burkina Faso	3:0 ✺
14.11.24	Burkina Faso - Senegal	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Burundi - Burkina Faso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
17.11.23	Burkina Faso - Guinea Bissau	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
22.01.17	Guinea Bissau - Burkina Faso	0:2

Guinea Bissau - Burkina Faso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide