Match Info

Date: 25 January 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Guineueta		Ascó

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Guineueta
38.3%

Draw
30.6%

Ascó
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guineueta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guineueta's form might have worsened.

Ascó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guineueta than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascó than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Guineueta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ascó is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ascó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EE Guineueta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.01.22	San Cristóbal - Guineueta	6:1 ✺
09.01.22	Grama - Guineueta	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	Guineueta - Pobla de Mafumet	0:4 ✺
12.12.21	Girona B - Guineueta	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Guineueta - Manresa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL
- FC Ascó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.01.22	Ascó - Granollers	2:0 ✺
02.01.22	Grama - Ascó	3:1 ✺
18.12.21	Ascó - San Cristóbal	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	Pobla de Mafumet - Ascó	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Ascó - Girona B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLLWT

Guineueta - Ascó