Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Guingamp		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.9
	2	3.25	3.7
	1.97	3.2	3.7
	2.03	3.34	4.14
	1.95	3.2	3.9
	1.94	3.44	3.98	Watch
	1.97	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.74)	3.32 ↑ (3.32)	3.87 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
47.6%

Draw
28.2%

Nîmes
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

27.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	15.2%	6.1%

Guingamp - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: Guingamp will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Guingamp has the most likely position - 11 (8.06%), has project points - 50, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (17.81%), has project points - 40, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 39, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 3.

Recent matches Guingamp is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nîmes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Guingamp is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
28.01.23	Rodez - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
13.01.23	Guingamp - Grenoble	2:4 ✺
10.01.23	Amiens - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
30.12.22	Guingamp - Quevilly	0:2 ✺
26.12.22	Nîmes - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTLW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
28.01.23	Nîmes - Niort	3:2 ✺
13.01.23	Le Havre - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
10.01.23	Nîmes - Metz	1:4 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.23	Grenoble - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Annecy - Nîmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.12.22	Nîmes - Guingamp	1:2
02.04.22	Nîmes - Guingamp	0:2
23.10.21	Guingamp - Nîmes	3:1
French Ligue 1
18.05.19	Guingamp - Nîmes	2:2
26.09.18	Nîmes - Guingamp	0:0
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Guingamp - Nîmes	1:0
French Ligue 2
02.03.13	Guingamp - Nîmes	3:0

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