Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free


	Amiens		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.45	1.85
	4.12	3.55	1.97
	3.54	3.49	1.99	Watch
	3.93	3.4	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.54)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
24.1%

Draw
27.1%

Guingamp
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

26.7%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Amiens - Guingamp Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guingamp will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guingamp will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 20. Kaiboue K. 44. Louis C. 11. Averlant T. 6. Monconduit T. (C) 45. Fofana I. 26. Ikia Dimi Y. 27. Lutin R. 9. Mlakar J.	1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 7. Gomis D. 27. Kielt S. 18. Nair S. 11. Sagna A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 20. Hatchi J. 23. Ourega D. 9. Mafouta L. 39. Ahile T.
Substitutes
17. Chibozo A. 7. Hamache I. 42. Injai C. 15. Nduquidi J. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 59. Talbot N. 94. Touho M.	29. Abdallah A. 36. Demouchy A. 2. Koffi E. 40. Marec N. (G) 3. Matumona J. 21. Mbemba F. 24. Ott G.
Coaches
Daf O.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Averlant T. ⚽, Fofana I. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Mafouta L. (Pen),
33', 1 - 2, Mafouta L. ⚽, Gomis D. (A),
36', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
44', Lutin R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
62', Hamache I. 🟨,
71', Louiserre D. 🟨,
71', Nair S. 🟨,
77', Lutin R. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
77', Mlakar J. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
78', Averlant T. ↓, Touho M. ↑,
81', Hatchi J. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
82', Kielt S. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
87', Fofana I. 🟨,
88', Sissoko A. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Guingamp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guingamp could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lobry V. (Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sidibe K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Amiens: Fofana I. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Guingamp - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.9%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Clermont - Amiens	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amiens - Grenoble	2:3 ✺
28.10.25	Troyes - Amiens	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Amiens - Rodez	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Nancy - Amiens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLWW
- EA Guingamp
Coupe De France
15.11.25	St Colomban-Locminé - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
08.11.25	Guingamp - Pau	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Guingamp - Laval	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Grenoble - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Guingamp - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.04.25	Amiens - Guingamp	3:2
22.11.24	Guingamp - Amiens	3:0
06.04.24	Guingamp - Amiens	0:0
02.09.23	Amiens - Guingamp	4:1
15.04.23	Guingamp - Amiens	3:1
10.01.23	Amiens - Guingamp	1:1
22.01.22	Amiens - Guingamp	3:0

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