Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Guiseley		Cleethorpes Town

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	2.90
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2	3.6	3.05
	2.09	3.76	3.08	Watch
	1.96	3.5	2.95
	2.09	3.34	3.02
	2.11	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.35)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	2.97 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
43.6%

Draw
26.1%

Cleethorpes Town
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.5%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guiseley's performance.

Cleethorpes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleethorpes Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Guiseley - Cleethorpes Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Wilson C. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Semi - finals and 1st in the Promotion - National League North).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Guiseley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cleethorpes has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Guiseley has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guiseley against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Cleethorpes	14	9	3	2	31:9	22	30
3	Guiseley	13	9	1	3	27:12	15	28

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Guiseley: 16.8% Cleethorpes: 13.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Guiseley - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Leiston - Guiseley	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Avro - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
06.10.26	Ilkeston - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Guiseley - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
29.09.26	Alfreton Town - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Rylands	3:0 ✺
06.10.26	Cleethorpes Town - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Workington - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Cleethorpes Town - Lancaster City	5:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.09.26	Cleethorpes Town - Redcar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Guiseley	2:1
15.11.25	Guiseley - Cleethorpes Town	1:1
English FA Cup
09.10.18	Guiseley - Cleethorpes Town	2:1
06.10.18	Cleethorpes Town - Guiseley	2:2

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