Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.9
	3.35	3.45	1.9
	3.46	3.61	1.92
	3.3	3.5	1.95
	3.45	3.44	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.02)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
26.9%

Draw
26%

Hednesford Town
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Morpeth Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Morpeth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Dowling W. ⚽,

Preview

Hednesford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hednesford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hednesford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
19.08.25	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Leek Town - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Morpeth Town - Workington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLTW
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
19.08.25	Prescot Cables - Hednesford Town	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Hednesford Town - Workington	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Hednesford Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Hebburn Town - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	AFC Telford United - Hednesford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW

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