Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Kewei		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.00	1.47
	5.80	4.70	1.37
	5.88	4.26	1.53
	4.94	3.63	1.66	Watch
	5.35	4.10	1.54
	6.39	4.30	1.46	Watch
	5.60	4.10	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↓ (6.66)	4.16 ↓ (4.28)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kewei
16.4%

Draw
22.2%

Beijing Guoan
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

21.3%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20.8%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kewei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kewei than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dalian Kewei - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhang Chong (G) 8. Ablimit Dilshat 35. Wang Peng 5. Fu Yuncheng 14. Li Zhen 31. Peyzullah Bahtiyar 18. Yao Xuchen 9. Liu Zhizhi 29. Chen Yongze 30. Yu Zeyuan 20. Zhang Xianbing (C)	31. Liu S. (G) 30. Fan Shuangjie 24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 26. Bai Yang 47. Deng Jiefu 17. Yang Liyu 36. Jia Feifan 6. Chi Zhongguo 11. Lin Liangming 37. Cao Yongjing 9. Zhang Yuning (C)
Substitutes
36. Ai Chuwei 11. Ge Yuxiang 37. Huang Jianming 6. Liu Xiaolong 27. Li Yang 26. Lu C. 7. Tang Junhao 13. Yan Xiaoyu (G) 3. Yu Yanhao 39. Zhang Dachi 19. Zhang Huajun 2. Zhang Zhen	41. Cheng Xi 22. Han Jiaqi (G) 34. Hou Sen (G) 58. Jiang Z. 57. Junze L. 59. Kangyue C. 55. Luo Z. 32. Wang Size 18. Wang Yu 43. Xiaoyu X. 50. Zhang H.
Coaches
Xu Hui	Montgomery N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Fu Yuncheng ↓, Yu Yanhao ↑,
45+4', 0 - 1, Jia Feifan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhang Huajun ↑,
46', Yu Zeyuan ↓, Ge Yuxiang ↑,
63', Chen Yongze ↓, Zhang Dachi ↑,
64', Jia Feifan ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Lin Liangming (A),
68', Li Zhen ↓, Liu Xiaolong ↑,
71', Lin Liangming ↓, Xiaoyu X. ↑,
81', Liu Zhizhi ↓, Lu C. ↑,
86', Zhang Yuning ↓, Zhang H. ↑,
86', Fan Shuangjie ↓, Jiang Z. ↑,
86', Yang Liyu ↓, Cheng Xi ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Ge Yuxiang ⚽,

Preview

Dalian Kewei is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beijing Guoan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dalian Kewei may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kewei
Chinese Yi League
18.07.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Shanghai Second	1:1 ✺
08.07.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Dalian Kewei	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Nantong Haimen Codion - Dalian Kewei	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Dalian Kewei - Shanghai Port B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Beijing Guoan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW

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