Match Info

League Two - Round 16

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Wenzhou Sports Centre (Wenzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Wenzhou Professional		Guizhou Guiyang Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.20	3.20	1.75
	4.45	3	1.82	Watch
	4.05	3	1.75
	4.74	3.12	1.8	Watch
	4.4	2.85	1.75
	4.72	3.05	1.89	Watch
	5.33	3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	1.77 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wenzhou Professional
19.7%

Draw
29.6%

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

29.1%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

31.9%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Wenzhou Professional - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chen Zhao (G) 27. Ou Xueqian 19. Yao Xilong (C) 6. Zhao Wenzhe 28. Zhu Chunyou 25. Wang X. 22. Abdugheni I. 36. Hua Mingcan 39. Ouyang Chengzhuo 20. Zhang F. 9. Li Jiaheng	23. Chen J. (G) 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 33. Feng Yifan 25. Ma Chongchong 40. Chen Y. 24. Wu Zhongcan 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 21. Hu Mingtian 11. Liao Chongjiu 22. Kong Yinquan 3. Zhao Jianbo
Substitutes
14. Fu Hao 55. Gao Le 8. Han Tianlin 52. He Xiang (G) 11. Lu Shihao 7. Lu Y. 53. Sun Weikai 21. Wang Y. 17. Wei Zhenghong 16. Wu Yuchen 43. Zhang Zhijie 50. Zhuang Q.	10. Chen Chenzhenyang 28. Chen Long 41. Jinghang Z. 7. Liu Yujie 57. Li Xi'nan 42. Luo Wenqi 8. Sun Enming 30. Wu Fei 29. Xu Jiajun 37. Yang Youxian 31. Yan H. (G) 17. Zheng Shengxiong
Coaches
Esteva J.	Moragas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Zhang Wentao ⚽, Zhao Jianbo (A),
35', Wu Zhongcan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wu Zhongcan ↓, Luo Wenqi ↑,
46', Hu Mingtian ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
46', Ouyang Chengzhuo ↓, Zhang Zhijie ↑,
46', Wang X. ↓, Wei Zhenghong ↑,
48', Hua Mingcan 🟨,
59', Chen Y. ↓, Zheng Shengxiong ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Ma Chongchong ⚽, Kong Yinquan (A),
62', Li Jiaheng ↓, Lu Y. ↑,
62', Zhang F. ↓, Han Tianlin ↑,
65', Zhao Jianbo ↓, Chen Long ↑,
69', Luo Wenqi 🟨,
70', Ou Xueqian ↓, Gao Le ↑,
74', Liao Chongjiu ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
74', Xu Jiajun 🟨,
77', Zhao Wenzhe 🟨,
82', Yao Xilong 🟨,
90+3', Wei Zhenghong 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).

Wenzhou is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guizhou Guiyang has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Guizhou Guiyang is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wenzhou won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Wenzhou won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Guizhou Guiyang	25	14	3	8	34:20	14	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
01.08.26	Wenzhou Professional - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Wenzhou Professional - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLTL
- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
01.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shenzhen 2028	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Hubei Istar - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
25.04.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Wenzhou Professional	1:0
28.06.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Wenzhou Professional	1:0
12.04.25	Wenzhou Professional - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	3:0

Wenzhou Professional - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide