The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guzide Gebzespor 65.5%
Draw 20.8%
Somaspor 13.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.6%
20%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.8%
19.4%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guzide Gebzespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guzide Gebzespor than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Guzide Gebzespor - Somaspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Erkasap M. ⚽, Guler M. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Erkan D. ⚽, Keklik M. P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Aktas M. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Gunes S. ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, Aktas M. ⚽, Gunes S. (A),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs Playoffs and 12th).
Guzide Gebzespor is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Somaspor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Somaspor has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Guzide Gebzespor as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Guzide Gebzespor has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guzide Gebzespor against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.