Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Guédiawaye		Ouakam

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.72	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.45)	2.72 ↑ (2.55)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guédiawaye
35.3%

Draw
33.5%

Ouakam
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

34.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

33.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guédiawaye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ouakam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guédiawaye than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ouakam than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guédiawaye won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ouakam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guédiawaye won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guédiawaye won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ouakam	30	8	18	4	23:16	7	42
13	Guediawaye	30	7	8	15	29:34	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guédiawaye FC
Senegal Ligue 1
03.05.26	HLM - Guédiawaye	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Guédiawaye - Camberene	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Guédiawaye - Pikine	1:3 ✺
26.03.26	Sonacos - Guédiawaye	0:3 ✺
17.03.26	Guédiawaye - Génération Foot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWW
- US Ouakam
Senegal Ligue 1
03.05.26	Ouakam - Teungueth	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Stade de Mbour - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ouakam - Wally Daan	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Ouakam	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Dakar SC - Ouakam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
11.01.26	Ouakam - Guédiawaye	1:1
20.10.24	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	1:1
14.04.24	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	4:2
10.12.23	Ouakam - Guédiawaye	2:0
15.04.18	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	2:1
23.02.18	Ouakam - Guédiawaye	0:1
04.06.17	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	0:0

Guédiawaye - Ouakam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide