Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Gwambina		Simba

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.5	1.5
	6.2	3.5	1.46
	7.1	3.92	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (6.15)	3.64 ↑ (3.01)	1.46 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwambina
13.6%

Draw
24.7%

Simba
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

30%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

24.1%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwambina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwambina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	0%	96.3%

Gwambina - Simba Predictions

Users Predictions: Simba will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion to CAF Confederations Cup (Qualification)).

Recent matches Gwambina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Simba is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gwambina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Simba is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gwambina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwambina FC
Tanzanian Premier League
20.04.21	Young Africans - Gwambina	3:1 ✺
16.04.21	Kinondoni MC - Gwambina	3:0 ✺
10.04.21	Gwambina - Coastal Union	4:0 ✺
13.03.21	Gwambina - Polisi Tanzania	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Mtibwa Sugar - Gwambina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWTW
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
21.04.21	Kagera Sugar - Simba	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Mwadui - Simba	0:1 ✺
14.04.21	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	5:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
09.04.21	Al Ahly Cairo - Simba	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Simba - Vita Club	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
26.09.20	Simba - Gwambina	3:0

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