Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: ETO Park (Győr)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Sweden	SportExpressen Play, Sport Expressen


	Győri ETO		AIK

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.37	3.1	2.85
	2.12	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.19	3.33	3.33
	2.16	3.07	3.55	Watch
	2.25	3.35	3.35
	2.6	3.1	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.73)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	3.2 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Győri ETO
41.5%

Draw
29.3%

AIK
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Győri ETO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Győri ETO's performance.

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AIK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Győri ETO than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Győri ETO that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AIK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	20.8%	62.5%

Győri ETO - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Győri ETO will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). AIK will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Győri ETO (votes: 3 - 17.6%). AIK (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - AIK (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Győri ETO (votes: 3 - 16.7%). AIK (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Petras S. (G) 2. Vladoiu S. 24. Krpic M. 21. Csinger M. 23. Stefulj D. 27. Vitalis M. 5. Anton P. (C) 44. Ouro S. 80. Gavric Z. 7. Benbouali N. 10. Bumba C.	15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 32. Benkovic F. 16. Tiedemann B. 45. Ayari T. 33. Csongvai A. 7. Saletros A. (C) 19. Besirovic D. 10. Celina B. 20. Flataker E.
Substitutes
4. Abrahamsson A. 90. Banati K. 20. Biro B. 25. Boldor D. 64. Brecska D. (G) 47. Decsy A. 96. Huszar M. 19. Pishchur O. 70. Tollar A. 6. Toth R. 18. Vingler L. 76. Zivkovic J.	18. Ali A. 2. Edh E. 47. Fesshaie A. 46. Geiger Y. 11. Guidetti J. 8. Hove J. 3. Isherwood T. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 5. Karlsson K.
Coaches
Borbely B.	Thomassen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Vitalis M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gavric Z. ⚽, Stefulj D. (A),
40', Besirovic D. 🟨,
43', Thychosen M. 🟨,
45+1', Anton P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Csinger M. 🟨,
51', Saletros A. (Pen),
54', Benbouali N. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Csongvai A. (Own goal),
71', Flataker E. ↓, Guidetti J. ↑,
71', Ayari T. ↓, Hove J. ↑,
71', Celina B. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
78', Thychosen M. ↓, Edh E. ↑,
80', Gavric Z. ↓, Banati K. ↑,
80', Anton P. ↓, Toth R. ↑,
86', Ouro S. ↓, Boldor D. ↑,
87', Tiedemann B. ↓, Fesshaie A. ↑,
90+4', Bumba C. ↓, Pishchur O. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Győri ETO has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AIK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

AIK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AIK has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Győri ETO won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Győri ETO FC
Hungarian NB I
10.08.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Győri ETO	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	AIK - Győri ETO	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
03.08.25	Győri ETO - Ujpest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Győri ETO - Pyunik	3:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
27.07.25	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTWT
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.25	AIK - Djurgården	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	AIK - Győri ETO	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	AIK - Paide LM	6:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	AIK - Öster	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paide LM - AIK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	AIK - Győri ETO	2:1

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