Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	19:00	SportExpressen Play, Sport Expressen


	AIK		Paide LM

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	13	Watch
	1.21	5.75	12.5
	1.22	6	12	Watch
	1.25	6.21	12.29
	1.30	4.93	10.44	Watch
	1.24	6.27	12.9	Watch
	1.12	8.2	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.2)	6.09 ↑ (5.5)	12.88 ↓ (19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
77.2%

Draw
15.5%

Paide LM
7.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78%

17%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	22.2%	5.6%

AIK - Paide LM Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Paide will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Paide (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paide (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. 32. Benkovic F. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 3. Isherwood T. 10. Celina B. 7. Saletros A. (C) 33. Csongvai A. 19. Besirovic D. 20. Flataker E. 8. Hove J.	99. Jarju E. (G) 25. Gueye M. 23. Delevic M. 27. Baranov N. 2. Lilander M. 10. Miller M. 6. Gilmore L. 8. Ojamaa H. (C) 77. Luts D. 7. Corr P. 19. Luts S.
Substitutes
18. Ali A. 45. Ayari T. 46. Geiger Y. 11. Guidetti J. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 5. Karlsson K. 12. Pavey C. 16. Tiedemann B. 21. Wilson S. 36. Yohanna Z.	9. Anier H. 17. Cham P. A. 28. Hoim O. 70. Isakar R. (G) 12. Meerits M. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 11. Reinkort S. 29. Saliste J. 22. Soo S. 20. Suso M. 3. Victor Hugo
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Vassiljev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Flataker E. ⚽, Thychosen M. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Miller M. (Own goal),
45', 3 - 0, Hove J. ⚽, Thychosen M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Gueye M. ↓, Saliste J. ↑,
46', Benkovic F. ↓, Tiedemann B. ↑,
46', Thychosen M. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
50', 4 - 0, Saletros A. (Pen),
54', 5 - 0, Hove J. ⚽, Celina B. (A),
56', Gilmore L. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
56', Luts D. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
58', Flataker E. ↓, Guidetti J. ↑,
58', Papagiannopoulos S. ↓, Pavey C. ↑,
66', Luts S. ↓, Suso M. ↑,
70', Celina B. ↓, Ayari T. ↑,
76', 6 - 0, Saletros A. ⚽, Ayari T. (A),
80', Miller M. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
81', Csongvai A. 🟨,
82', Ojamaa H. 🟨,
90', Baranov N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paide has had a series of home games.

In this match, AIK is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AIK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	AIK - Öster	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paide LM - AIK	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Mjällby - AIK	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	AIK - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Halmstad - AIK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLWL
- Paide LM
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paide LM - AIK	0:2 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.07.25	Paide LM - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Paide LM - Magpies	4:1 ✺
10.07.25	Magpies - Paide LM	2:3 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.25	Paide LM - Levadia Tallinn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paide LM - AIK	0:2

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