Match Info

K League 2 - Round 24

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.20	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.07	3.20	3.10
	2.25	3.30	3.56
	2.22	3.34	3.2	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.45
	2.18	3.22	3.33	Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	3.26 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
42.8%

Draw
28.9%

Paju Frontier
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Paju Frontier will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paju Frontier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Paju Frontier (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Paju Frontier (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paju Frontier (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 66. Cho Sang-Jun 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 39. Lucao 30. Hyun-cheol J. 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 77. Kim Ha-min 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 24. Yun Il-Lok 90. Kim Hyeon-oh 10. Mbah C.	1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 81. Kim Min-Ho 20. Hong Jeong-un 33. Bonilla J. 22. Lee Min-Ki 70. Ahn June Hyuk 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 19. You Jae-jun 18. Lee Jea-Ho 92. Baston B. 10. Lee Joon-Suk
Substitutes
2. Bae Hyun-Seo 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 70. Felipe Fonseca 29. Karadzic A. 28. Kim Jun-Ho 31. Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 8. Lee Chan-Dong 20. Lee Gyu-Baeg 71. Lee Heon-Jae	27. Baez J. 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 13. Kim Min-seung (G) 77. Lee Chan-ho 88. Lee Taek-Geun 17. Park S. 5. Sim Min-Yong 7. Walterson Silva
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Nus G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cho Sang-Jun ↓, Bae Hyun-Seo ↑,
46', Ahn June Hyuk ↓, Lee Taek-Geun ↑,
46', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
53', Bonilla J. 🟨,
66', Hong Jeong-un ↓, Lee Chan-ho ↑,
68', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Felipe Fonseca ↑,
68', Mbah C. ↓, Cho Jin-Hyuk ↑,
70', Bonilla J. ↓, Cheon Hyeon-Byung ↑,
82', Choi Bum-Kyung ↓, Kim Hyun-Tae ↑,
82', Cho Jin-Hyuk 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Kim Hyeon-oh ⚽, Felipe Fonseca (A),
90', Kim Hyeong-Won ↓, Karadzic A. ↑,
90+3', Kim Jung-Hyeon 🟨,
90+3', Kim Ha-min ↓, Lee Chan-Dong ↑,
90+5', Lucao 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Gyeongnam has had a series of away games.

Gyeongnam will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
23.08.26	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Gimhae - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Gyeongnam - Daegu	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Gimpo - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLTT
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
23.08.26	Seoul E-Land - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Paju Frontier - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Paju Frontier - Suwon	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Bucheon - Paju Frontier	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
25.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	2:3
South Korean Cup
23.03.24	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	0:1

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