Match Info

K League 2 - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Paju Stadium (Paju)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Paju Frontier		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.15	Watch
	3.10	2.95	2.15
	3.25	2.95	2.18
	3.67	3.15	2.23
	3.21	3.03	2.37	Watch
	3.7	3.15	2.09
	3.36	3.1	2.23	Watch
	3.25	3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	2.2 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
27.6%

Draw
30.4%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.4%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

28%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Paju Frontier - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paju Frontier will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Seongnam will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seongnam (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 34. Roh S. 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 33. Bonilla J. 22. Lee Min-Ki 18. Lee Jea-Ho 20. Hong Jeong-un (C) 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 10. Lee Joon-Suk 92. Baston B. 27. Baez J.	1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 27. Kwon Byeong-jun 20. Lee Sang-Min (C) 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 23. You Ju-An 14. Elionay 11. Lee Jun-Sang 13. Hong S. 18. Kim Min-jae
Substitutes
70. Ahn June Hyuk 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 81. Kim Min-Ho 13. Kim Min-seung (G) 2. Kim Min-Sung 77. Lee Chan-ho 5. Sim Min-Yong 7. Walterson Silva 19. You Jae-jun	2. Hwang Seok-Ki 28. Jeong M. 36. Lee J. 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 10. Villero P. 19. Yang Tae-yang 32. Yun Min-Ho 5. Yu Sun
Coaches
Nus G.	Dong-hoon H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Lee Jeong-Bin (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Baez J. ↓, You Jae-jun ↑,
46', Cheon Hyeon-Byung ↓, Kim Min-Ho ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Lee Jea-Ho ⚽, You Jae-jun (A),
57', 2 - 1, Lee Jea-Ho ⚽, Lee Min-Ki (A),
59', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
59', Hong S. ↓, Villero P. ↑,
59', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Yun Min-Ho ↑,
63', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Kim Min-Sung ↑,
67', Venicio 🟨,
70', Kwon Byeong-jun ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
73', Lee Jea-Ho ↓, Ahn June Hyuk ↑,
78', Lee Sang-Min ↓, Yu Sun ↑,
83', Kim Min-Sung ↓, Kim Hyun-Tae ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent form of Paju Frontier has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Seongnam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Seongnam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Seongnam is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paju Frontier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29

Last Results with these Odds

Paju Frontier - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.34%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
08.08.26	Paju Frontier - Suwon	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Bucheon - Paju Frontier	3:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
26.07.26	Paju Frontier - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
19.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLLT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
08.08.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheonan City	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Chungnam Asan - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimhae - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pocheon	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
19.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Paju Frontier	0:1

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