Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: ETO Park (Győr)

Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Latvia	TV4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Győri ETO		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.30	3.35	2.85	Watch
	2.48	3.53	2.66
	2.29	3.55	2.88	Watch
	2.40	3.45	2.50
	2.46	3.54	2.84
	2.34	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.28)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	2.69 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Győri ETO
38.9%

Draw
26.5%

Riga
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.2%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Győri ETO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Győri ETO than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Győri ETO - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Győri ETO will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Riga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Győri ETO: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Győri ETO (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Riga (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Győri ETO (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Riga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Petras S. (G) 47. Decsy A. 37. Urblik N. 24. Krpic M. (C) 53. Selyem B. 80. Gavric Z. 14. Szep M. 23. Stefulj D. 10. Bumba C. 11. Njie N. 34. Djukanovic V.	91. Orols F. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 21. Musah B. 33. Paulo Eduardo 17. Salazar A. 5. Wassom K. 40. Ankrah A. 22. Diop M. 8. Iago Siqueira 7. Aouani R. 10. Reginaldo Ramires (C)
Substitutes
49. Balogun L. 90. Banati K. 20. Biro B. 75. Csorba N. 18. Lamin Mass M. 16. Megyeri B. (G) 17. Schon S. 70. Tollar I. 26. Umathum A. 2. Vladoiu S.	3. Abner 19. Badamosi M. 99. Caio Ferreira 34. Cernomordijs A. 4. Galo O. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 6. Saco C. 25. Taiwo A. 23. Tonisevs M. 1. Zviedris K. (G)
Coaches
Juarez E.	Gula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Gavric Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Aouani R. 🟨,
64', Diop M. ↓, Oulad M'Hand S. ↑,
64', Gavric Z. ↓, Schon S. ↑,
66', Bumba C. 🟨,
71', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
75', Schon S. ↓, Huszar M. ↑,
84', Decsy A. ↓, Umathum A. ↑,
84', Aouani R. ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Caio Ferreira ⚽, Salazar A. (A),
89', Caio Ferreira 🟨,
90+3', Szep M. 🟨,
90+6', Ankrah A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Győri ETO has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Riga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Győri ETO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Riga has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Győri ETO won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Riga FC: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Győri ETO FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Riga - Győri ETO	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
02.08.26	Győri ETO - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Győri ETO - Atert Bissen	1:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
26.07.26	Vasas - Győri ETO	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.26	Atert Bissen - Győri ETO	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTTW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.26	Riga - Ogre United	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Riga - Győri ETO	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
02.08.26	Riga - Grobiņa	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.26	Riga - Vardar	5:2 ET ✺
22.07.26	Vardar - Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Riga - Győri ETO	1:0

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